Pigeon Forge, TN · Seasonality

When is Airbnb demand strongest in Pigeon Forge?

Pigeon Forge is a seasonal market. Jul is the strongest month and Dec the weakest, with the four best months carrying 45% of the year’s modelled revenue.

Modelled estimate

Peak month

Jul

Slowest month

Dec

Share of revenue in top 4 months

45%

Peak-to-trough spread

1.6×

Demand index high vs low

Demand month by month

  • 80Jan
  • 80Feb
  • 85Mar
  • 85Apr
  • 100May
  • 120Jun
  • 130Jul
  • 130Aug
  • 110Sep
  • 115Oct
  • 85Nov
  • 80Dec
MonthDemand indexModelled ADRModelled occupancyModelled revenue
Jan80$26253%$4,217
Feb80$26253%$4,217
Mar85$27155%$4,570
Apr85$27155%$4,570
May100$29863%$5,710
Jun120$33473%$7,424
Jul130$35278%$8,364
Aug130$35278%$8,364
Sep110$31668%$6,540
Oct115$32571%$6,975
Nov85$27155%$4,570
Dec80$26253%$4,217

The demand index starts from the archetype curve for a mountain market and is centred on 100 for an average month. Monthly rate and occupancy are derived from the market averages, with rate moving 60% and occupancy 80% as fast as the index.

What to do in peak season

Around Jul, hold your rate and lengthen minimum stays. Every night you sell cheap in peak season is revenue you cannot recover later in the year.

Shoulder months

Shoulder demand is where most owners leave money behind. Drop minimum stays, open midweek gaps and let last-minute pricing do the work.

Dec and the slow season

With a 1.6× spread between best and worst month, a monthly or mid-term booking often beats chasing nightly stays in the trough.

Compare short-term and mid-term here

Compare Pigeon Forge with nearby markets

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