Lahaina, HI · Seasonality

When is Airbnb demand strongest in Lahaina?

Lahaina is a seasonal market. Mar is the strongest month and Sep the weakest, with the four best months carrying 43% of the year’s modelled revenue.

Modelled estimate

Peak month

Mar

Slowest month

Sep

Share of revenue in top 4 months

43%

Peak-to-trough spread

1.9×

Demand index high vs low

Demand month by month

  • 120Jan
  • 125Feb
  • 130Mar
  • 110Apr
  • 95May
  • 90Jun
  • 95Jul
  • 85Aug
  • 70Sep
  • 80Oct
  • 95Nov
  • 115Dec
MonthDemand indexModelled ADRModelled occupancyModelled revenue
Jan120$44378%$10,556
Feb125$45581%$11,215
Mar130$46784%$11,894
Apr110$42073%$9,319
May95$38465%$7,575
Jun90$37262%$7,033
Jul95$38465%$7,575
Aug85$36159%$6,529
Sep70$32551%$5,078
Oct80$34957%$6,025
Nov95$38465%$7,575
Dec115$43276%$9,939

The demand index starts from the archetype curve for a tropical market and is centred on 100 for an average month. Monthly rate and occupancy are derived from the market averages, with rate moving 60% and occupancy 80% as fast as the index.

What to do in peak season

Around Mar, hold your rate and lengthen minimum stays. Every night you sell cheap in peak season is revenue you cannot recover later in the year.

Shoulder months

Shoulder demand is where most owners leave money behind. Drop minimum stays, open midweek gaps and let last-minute pricing do the work.

Sep and the slow season

With a 1.9× spread between best and worst month, a monthly or mid-term booking often beats chasing nightly stays in the trough.

Compare short-term and mid-term here

Compare Lahaina with nearby markets

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