Santa Barbara, CA · Seasonality

When is Airbnb demand strongest in Santa Barbara?

Santa Barbara is a seasonal market. Jul is the strongest month and Dec the weakest, with the four best months carrying 44% of the year’s modelled revenue.

Modelled estimate

Peak month

Jul

Slowest month

Dec

Share of revenue in top 4 months

44%

Peak-to-trough spread

1.7×

Demand index high vs low

Demand month by month

  • 80Jan
  • 85Feb
  • 95Mar
  • 100Apr
  • 105May
  • 120Jun
  • 135Jul
  • 135Aug
  • 115Sep
  • 100Oct
  • 85Nov
  • 80Dec
MonthDemand indexModelled ADRModelled occupancyModelled revenue
Jan80$35754%$5,890
Feb85$36957%$6,376
Mar95$39362%$7,404
Apr100$40565%$7,946
May105$41767%$8,507
Jun120$45375%$10,302
Jul135$48982%$12,265
Aug135$48982%$12,265
Sep115$44172%$9,685
Oct100$40565%$7,946
Nov85$36957%$6,376
Dec80$35754%$5,890

The demand index starts from the archetype curve for a pacific beach market and is centred on 100 for an average month. Monthly rate and occupancy are derived from the market averages, with rate moving 60% and occupancy 80% as fast as the index.

What to do in peak season

Around Jul, hold your rate and lengthen minimum stays. Every night you sell cheap in peak season is revenue you cannot recover later in the year.

Shoulder months

Shoulder demand is where most owners leave money behind. Drop minimum stays, open midweek gaps and let last-minute pricing do the work.

Dec and the slow season

With a 1.7× spread between best and worst month, a monthly or mid-term booking often beats chasing nightly stays in the trough.

Compare short-term and mid-term here

Compare Santa Barbara with nearby markets

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