Tucson, AZ · Seasonality

When is Airbnb demand strongest in Tucson?

Tucson is a seasonal market. Mar is the strongest month and Jul the weakest, with the four best months carrying 45% of the year’s modelled revenue.

Modelled estimate

Peak month

Mar

Slowest month

Jul

Share of revenue in top 4 months

45%

Peak-to-trough spread

2.2×

Demand index high vs low

Demand month by month

  • 125Jan
  • 135Feb
  • 145Mar
  • 120Apr
  • 95May
  • 70Jun
  • 65Jul
  • 70Aug
  • 85Sep
  • 105Oct
  • 115Nov
  • 120Dec
MonthDemand indexModelled ADRModelled occupancyModelled revenue
Jan125$23070%$4,869
Feb135$24174%$5,440
Mar145$25379%$6,065
Apr120$22467%$4,585
May95$19456%$3,291
Jun70$16544%$2,221
Jul65$15942%$2,029
Aug70$16544%$2,221
Sep85$18251%$2,833
Oct105$20660%$3,784
Nov115$21865%$4,310
Dec120$22467%$4,585

The demand index starts from the archetype curve for a desert market and is centred on 100 for an average month. Monthly rate and occupancy are derived from the market averages, with rate moving 60% and occupancy 80% as fast as the index.

What to do in peak season

Around Mar, hold your rate and lengthen minimum stays. Every night you sell cheap in peak season is revenue you cannot recover later in the year.

Shoulder months

Shoulder demand is where most owners leave money behind. Drop minimum stays, open midweek gaps and let last-minute pricing do the work.

Jul and the slow season

With a 2.2× spread between best and worst month, a monthly or mid-term booking often beats chasing nightly stays in the trough.

Compare short-term and mid-term here

Compare Tucson with nearby markets

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