Market comparison
Lake Arrowhead, CA vs San Francisco, CA
On modelled numbers, San Francisco carries the higher annual revenue and San Francisco the stronger occupancy. Same state alternatives
| Lake Arrowhead, CA | San Francisco, CA | |
|---|---|---|
| Modelled annual revenue | $57,600 | $74,600 |
| Nightly rate | $292 | $292 |
| Occupancy | 54% | 70% |
| Nights booked a year | 197 | 255 |
| Peak season | Jun–Jul–Aug | Apr–May–Jun |
| Season concentration | 54% in top 4 months | 38% in top 4 months |
| Modelled purchase price | $435,000 | $435,000 |
| Modelled cash-on-cash | 12% | 23% |
| Break-even occupancy | 36% | 36% |
| Mid-term monthly rent | $3,950 | $3,950 |
| Short vs mid-term | Close | Nightly ahead |
| Rule status | Status unpublished | Status unpublished |
| Market type | lake | urban |
Operating costs are modelled at 32% of gross revenue for a nightly rental (cleaning, supplies, utilities, platform fees, maintenance, insurance) and 14% for a monthly rental. Financing assumes a 25% down payment and a 30-year loan at 7%. These are planning assumptions, not quotes — replace them with your own numbers. Rule status is only stated where we hold an official source; otherwise it is marked as needing verification on each market's regulation page.
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