Big Pine Key, FL · Seasonality

When is Airbnb demand strongest in Big Pine Key?

Big Pine Key is a seasonal market. Mar is the strongest month and Sep the weakest, with the four best months carrying 44% of the year’s modelled revenue.

Modelled estimate

Peak month

Mar

Slowest month

Sep

Share of revenue in top 4 months

44%

Peak-to-trough spread

1.9×

Demand index high vs low

Demand month by month

  • 120Jan
  • 125Feb
  • 130Mar
  • 110Apr
  • 95May
  • 90Jun
  • 95Jul
  • 85Aug
  • 70Sep
  • 80Oct
  • 95Nov
  • 115Dec
MonthDemand indexModelled ADRModelled occupancyModelled revenue
Jan120$31471%$6,822
Feb125$32374%$7,259
Mar130$33176%$7,687
Apr110$29767%$6,008
May95$27259%$4,892
Jun90$26457%$4,551
Jul95$27259%$4,892
Aug85$25554%$4,205
Sep70$23047%$3,276
Oct80$24752%$3,888
Nov95$27259%$4,892
Dec115$30669%$6,419

The demand index starts from the archetype curve for a tropical market and is centred on 100 for an average month. Monthly rate and occupancy are derived from the market averages, with rate moving 60% and occupancy 80% as fast as the index.

What to do in peak season

Around Mar, hold your rate and lengthen minimum stays. Every night you sell cheap in peak season is revenue you cannot recover later in the year.

Shoulder months

Shoulder demand is where most owners leave money behind. Drop minimum stays, open midweek gaps and let last-minute pricing do the work.

Sep and the slow season

With a 1.9× spread between best and worst month, a monthly or mid-term booking often beats chasing nightly stays in the trough.

Compare short-term and mid-term here

Compare Big Pine Key with nearby markets

Want a second opinion on your property?

Send us the address and we will tell you what we think it can do, what the local rules require, and whether co-hosting makes sense for you.