Carlsbad, CA · Occupancy & ADR
Carlsbad occupancy rate and average daily rate
A well-run Carlsbad short-term rental models at 65% occupancy — about 237 booked nights a year — at an average daily rate of $318. That works out to $207 of revenue per available night.
Occupancy
65%
237 nights booked
Average daily rate
$318
Revenue per available night
$207
ADR × occupancy
Typical stay length
4.2 nights
≈ 56 turnovers a year
Rate versus nights booked
In Carlsbad the two levers move against each other. Modelled outcomes at three pricing positions:
| Pricing position | Nightly rate | Occupancy | Nights | Gross revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price 10% under the market | $286 | 73% | 266 | $75,996 |
| Market pricing | $318 | 65% | 237 | $75,446 |
| Price 10% over the market | $350 | 57% | 209 | $73,073 |
The trade-off uses a modelled price elasticity: a 10% price move shifts occupancy by roughly 12% in the opposite direction. Real elasticity varies by property and by season — treat this as a way to frame the decision, not a forecast.
Occupancy by month
| Month | Modelled occupancy | Modelled ADR |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 53% | $276 |
| Feb | 56% | $285 |
| Mar | 61% | $303 |
| Apr | 64% | $313 |
| May | 66% | $322 |
| Jun | 74% | $350 |
| Jul | 81% | $377 |
| Aug | 81% | $377 |
| Sep | 71% | $340 |
| Oct | 64% | $313 |
| Nov | 56% | $285 |
| Dec | 53% | $276 |
Compare Carlsbad with nearby markets
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