Nags Head area — Duck, NC · Seasonality

When is Airbnb demand strongest in Nags Head area — Duck?

Nags Head area — Duck is a seasonal market. Jul is the strongest month and Dec the weakest, with the four best months carrying 48% of the year’s modelled revenue.

Modelled estimate

Peak month

Jul

Slowest month

Dec

Share of revenue in top 4 months

48%

Peak-to-trough spread

2.0×

Demand index high vs low

Demand month by month

  • 70Jan
  • 75Feb
  • 95Mar
  • 105Apr
  • 115May
  • 130Jun
  • 140Jul
  • 135Aug
  • 105Sep
  • 85Oct
  • 75Nov
  • 70Dec
MonthDemand indexModelled ADRModelled occupancyModelled revenue
Jan70$28942%$3,674
Feb75$29944%$4,002
Mar95$34153%$5,476
Apr105$36357%$6,316
May115$38462%$7,195
Jun130$41568%$8,609
Jul140$43673%$9,628
Aug135$42670%$9,122
Sep105$36357%$6,316
Oct85$32048%$4,711
Nov75$29944%$4,002
Dec70$28942%$3,674

The demand index starts from the archetype curve for a atlantic beach market and is centred on 100 for an average month. Monthly rate and occupancy are derived from the market averages, with rate moving 60% and occupancy 80% as fast as the index.

What to do in peak season

Around Jul, hold your rate and lengthen minimum stays. Every night you sell cheap in peak season is revenue you cannot recover later in the year.

Shoulder months

Shoulder demand is where most owners leave money behind. Drop minimum stays, open midweek gaps and let last-minute pricing do the work.

Dec and the slow season

With a 2.0× spread between best and worst month, a monthly or mid-term booking often beats chasing nightly stays in the trough.

Compare short-term and mid-term here

Compare Nags Head area — Duck with nearby markets

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